Nottingham Forest (A) 2024-25 - The Stats

Jota's impact could be crucial in the title run-in

Draws are frustrating.

Liverpool have had five of them now in the Premier League this season - four of which have come in their last seven games.

Here are the major stats of those five draws:

You can make a case that Liverpool should have won four of those football matches.

The Arsenal and Newcastle draws are the only league games this season that Liverpool haven’t “won” on xG by at least 0.4.

As you can see, statistically speaking, the Arsenal game was a largely dull affair despite being a high-scoring stalemate.

But in the Newcastle game, Liverpool led late only to throw away the three points even later.

In the last three draws against Fulham, Manchester United, and Nottingham Forest, the stats clearly weight in the Reds’ favour.

Forest last night was the most glaring example. 23 shots to 6. 1.99 xG to 0.31. But the most important stat is the score: one goal apiece.

Forest scored with their first attack, their first shot of the game, and then didn’t lay a glove on Liverpool afterwards.

The xG timeline of the game tells the story.